This Doc is Out

As trade talks with the Clippers collapse under the weight of Donald Sterling’s ignorance, Doc Rivers’ desire to leave has Celtic fans feeling sick to their stomachs.

The Los Angeles Clippers were not willing to part with DeAndre Jordan and two first round draft picks for Kevin Garnett and one of the NBA’s best coaches. While Rivers does have fond memories of  L.A. during  his playing career, he made his intentions clear he no longer wants to call Boston his home during the season.

As one would guess neither the Standells nor the fans approve of Doc’s change of heart.

Callers have flooded sports talk radio with a torrent of bad things to say about Doc and his waning loyalty. Couple Rivers wanting to leave with the team-city unity the Boston Bruins have going on and Doc’s desire to leave becomes harder to swallow.

Even though the cry for a disloyal coach to vacate the franchise can be heard from Summer Street the Celtics can’t afford to lose Doc simply because he has accomplished so much.

Rivers has the sixth highest winning percentage in Celtics history. Only Red Aurbach has more playoff wins than Doc. And most notably Rivers brought Boston a championship in 2008.

The good times felt so long ago didn’t they?

Although coach Rivers is a master of diagnosing defenses even this doc does not have a cure for aging stars. Paul Pierce is 35 years old and needs a stepstool to get off a jump shot. Garnett is 37 and battled ankle issues as recently as this season. Couple two burning out stars with a young point guard who plays for the highlight reels rather than the wins and it makes sense why Doc deems this team incurable.

Yet for Celtics fans that doesn’t make it hurt any less.

While it is clear that the window on this Celtics group has closed fans thought they had Rivers in place as the architect that constructed a new contender. Rivers’ five year 35 million dollar extension back in 2011 had Celtics faithful dreaming of Doc dialing up plays for Rajon Rondo and company for years to come.

Somewhere in the sweltering heat of summer that loyalty evaporated like ice cream on the beach.  

By flirting with the Clippers Doc has created a riff with the Celtics faithful that cannot be cured by going to Rite-Aid and filling out a prescription. Yes the Clippers are in a better position to make a run for a championship today. Yes questions about the C’s ability to build around Rondo are legitimate. And yes, even with Doc being in charge a rebuilding Celtics team would likely suffer a losing season or two.

It just hurt the Celtics faithful being forced to picture Doc departing for greener pastures.

Great(ness), now what?

Last night in south beach with all of the critics watching, the Miami Heat demolished the San Antonio Spurs with a 19 point beating on the NBA’s biggest stage.

This was a beat down of epic proportions. The 103-84 win by the current defending champions suggest that when they are in fact on, there is not a team in the current NBA that is better.

But last night the Miami Heat also proved that when there is one team of men that makes the rest of the league look like little boys (when they wish) is terrible for the league as a whole.

Last night’s game from the middle of the third quarter on was unwatchable, but not because both teams played poorly; rather it is because the Heat were in fact too dominant for the Spurs.

The 33-5 run that spanned from the waning moments of the third quarter into the middle of the fourth quarter was spectacular for Heat fans. Miami made 12 of their 13 shots, did not miss a three pointer, and committed one turnover in that eight minute span.

One run and the game was over, the benches were emptied by both teams with roughly five minutes to go in the NBA Finals. Both teams knew the game was over in what was supposed to be the tensest moments of the game. It was possible to hear David Stern yelling at the television ‘YOU CAN”T WIN BY THIS MUCH!!!! PEOPLE AREN’T GOING TO WATCH THIS!!!’ from Massachusetts.

Yet after seeing the ratings from last night’s game certainly calmed Stern down. The blowout win last night drew a 10.2 overnight rating, which was tied for the fourth highest game two rating since 2004.

This number is baffling for multiple reasons. Ignoring the local market viewings for a moment, it is stunning that THIS many people across the country want to watch the Heat win in lopsided fashion.

Greatness is fantastic in hindsight. It keeps statisticians and sports fans up for hours debating who was better and who was best. Yet in real time, one team ruling the NBA like Joseph Stalin once ruled over the former Soviet Union can’t possibly be entertaining.

Even when Michael Jordan was at the apex of his first prime in the 1993 NBA Finals, his Bulls never won a game by more than ten points. It was still a series, even though many thought that the Bulls were the better team and was eventually going to win; Phoenix still had a fighting chance.

And while the Heat are this good, people still watch, even when they destroy their competition like they did last night.

The de-facto ‘f- you Miami for throwing a dynasty parade before playing a single game’ hate, while still a great reason to hate the Heat, is looking more and more futile by the day.

It is common knowledge that the Heat have the best player in the world, the backing of the NBA officiating crews across the league, a good coach, and an all time great defense; yet there is any kind of hope they will lose.

When Miami plays as well as they did last night on the defensive end there is no team in the NBA that can beat them. The mindset shifts to ‘oh well the Heat are on tonight, guess this game is over.’

The compelling aspect of sports is that you don’t truly know who is going to win. When the Heat are this sharp during a game victory for them is a certainty. Combine the loss of the unpredictability element with the level of dominance and the game becomes unwatchable.

Nobody is punishing the Heat for being this great; they are punishing the rest of the league by being this dominant.

NBA What if's 2013

Circumstantial debate is one of the vital cogs that keeps the sports world going. Conversations starting with 'oh well your team may not have won because blah blah didn't happen or player x was hurt' are almost always the most intense and keep people at sports bars long past last call.

While the Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs get set to play ball in south beach for the right to be the NBA's new champion, most of the other 14 teams that made the playoffs are left to wonder 'what if.' 

While not every team can make the argument they would have won a conference championship if everything broke their way (Sorry Milwaukee Bucks, New York Knicks, Atlanta Hawks, Brooklyn Nets, Houston Rockets, Boston Celtics, LA Clippers anything short of LeBron being genetically cloned and being transported to your team would not have helped you take the title this year) there are some teams that do come out of these playoffs looking like the tragic heroes in Romeo and Juliet; you know, Romeo and Juliet. 

(Quick disclaimer: I'm not doing any 'what if's' regarding Derrick Rose being healthy and or playing in the playoffs because we can't assume he'd have come back like Adrian Peterson nor can we assume he would have been a scrub that just didn't have it after the injury.

I also have to respectfully punt on the 'what if Kobe didn't get hurt' situation. As great as Kobe is, this Lakers team as constructed in the 2013 season was too bad on the defensive end and too flawed at head coach to blow up the playoff bracket.)

Without further delay, we take a look back on the year to determine which teams can rightly ponder 'what if.'

Hypothetical Situation number 1: What if the Thunder never traded James Harden? Suppose they waited out the rest of this year and dealt with the contract issues of Harden, Ibaka, and Perkins this summer. 

With hindsight having 20-20 vision the Harden trade was deemed a disaster for the Thunder for the obvious reasons.

• Harden took the Rockets to the playoffs.
• Harden finished 5th in the NBA in points per game this season
• Ibaka has effectively hit his ceiling. Surge is a dominant shot blocker for sure, but offensively he will never grow into anything more than a heavily watered down version of Chris Bosh. 

By the same token, Harden committed almost four turnovers a game this season; which is almost twice as much as his two turnovers a game last season. 

Part of this can be blamed on Harden's minutes going up drastically, but Harden's game is largely predicated on him dominating the ball; something that Durant and Westbrook already do. 

When you have three big time players all together somebody has to take a step back from what they used to be. In San Antonio it was Tim Duncan who stepped back in 2007. In Miami it was Chris Bosh who took on less last year. In Boston in 2008 it was Kevin Garnett who reduced his offensive roll. 

In Oklahoma City the guy who would have needed to curb his game and ego for the betterment of the team had no choice but to be Harden because Durant and Westbrook are both better players.

If Harden was going to work out in Oklahoma City, he would have had to reduce his roll to being the cutter/kick out to the open shooter/isolation scorer when Westbrook and Durant are both off the floor. 

Harden wouldn't have gotten a chance to grow as a complete player because he would have been subjugated to this super-third guy role in OKC. As a result Harden would not have been able to flourish like he has in Houston. The Thunder would have lost to the Heat in the Finals again, and this summer would have left Sam Presti once again questioning Harden's worth vs Ibaka's worth; most likely yielding the same result as what happened in real life.

Speaking of what happened to the Thunder in real life...

Hypothetical number 2: What if Russell Westbrook never got hurt?

Russell Westbrook improved greatly after this season. His assists were up (7.4 per game this year compared to 5.5 last year), his rebounding was better (5.2 boards per game this year compared to 4.6 per game last year) and he finally seemed to learn how to play with Kevin Durant after the two butted heads in last year's playoffs.

With the new and improved Russell Westbrook healthy it is perfectly reasonable to believe the Thunder would have had a Finals rematch against the Heat. The Thunder beat Memphis and San Antonio last year with Westbrook (and Harden to be fair) and had a fearsome twosome in a better Westbrook and a better Durant. 

Still the role players around the Thunder would not have been able to push this year's OKC team over the top, even with Westbrook and Durant being dominant. Bosh would have eaten Ibaka's lunch offensively again. And while nobody on Miami can guard Westbrook (Spolestra wouldn't take LeBron off Durant defensively for fear of Durant ripping off 12 straight points) the Thunder as presently constituted don't have enough quality role players to beat the Heat.


From the hypothetical situations of the Oklahoma City Thunder to the team that beat the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Hypothetical number 3: What if the Memphis Grizzlies never traded Rudy Gay?

Around the mid point of the season the Memphis Grizzlies traded Gay's enormous contract (5 years 82 million dollars, Gay is slated to make 19 million next season according to spotrac.com http://www.spotrac.com/nba/toronto-raptors/rudy-gay/) along with Hamed Haddadi to the Toronto Raptors. The involvement of the Detroit Pistons enabled Memphis to snag Tayshaun Prince and bolster their team defense because of it.

Production wise for the Grizzlies Gay was averaging 17 points, six rebounds, and roughly three assists before the deal.

While the move made ample sense for Memphis financially the Grizzlies gave away their best wing player by a mile and the San Antonio Spurs took full advantage of Gay's absence.

When Danny Green and Kawhi Leonard were playing strictly to double Randolph and Gasol in the low post and leaving, and I mean like the pretty girl in high school ditching the creepy kid who asks her to prom, Tony Allen and Prince with 15 feet of shooting space.The Spurs were completely unafraid of the Grizzlies wing players. If Gay were there the Spurs would have had to at least honor his shot.

There is no guarantee that Memphis would have won the series because the spacing between Gay and Randolph still would have remained putrid, which would have lead to issues on the offensive end for Memphis, but the argument that Memphis could have beaten San Antonio with Gay can been made.


Hypothetical number 4 What if the Warriors shocked the world and beat the San Antonio Spurs?

Let's say for a moment that Stephen Curry doesn't tweak his ankle, Thompson doesn't completely vanish in this series, and David Lee doesn't hurt himself.

We'll say that Golden State Warriors shoot so well that San Antonio can't out rebound them. After all the Warriors shot 46 percent as a team in the regular season and scored 102 points per game prior to the playoffs.

Golden State with the series win gains even more league love, goes on to the NBA Finals and becomes the sentimental favorite against the big bad Miami Heat.

Yet in this hypothetical story Goliath probably crushes David in five.

Miami wins the series primarily because of Golden State's lack of defensive prowess. The Warriors rotate poorly, have nobody who can guard LeBron James for even part of the game, and will actually get burned by the open three point shooters of the Heat.

But in the process of this situation Golden State becomes a far bigger market and a bigger player in the future.



We shift over to the Eastern Conference now just to make it clear that Miami was not predetermined to take a third trip to the NBA Finals in four years.


Hypothetical number 5 What if Danny Granger were healthy for the Indiana Pacers?

This may be the only situation, short of LeBron getting hurt, that potentially result in a team other than Miami going to the NBA Finals.

The Pacers pushed the Heat to seven games this time around and gave them everything they could handle. Miami had no answer for the mashing combination of Roy Hibbert and David West for the better part of the series and Paul George made big plays at key points.

Indiana had a notoriously bad bench for the better part of this series. Throughout the seven games Miami's reserves outscored the Pacers backups in every single game of this series. Miami's bench totaled 156 points in the series compared to just 80 points by Indiana's bench in the series.

If, and that is a monumentally large if, Granger is healthy and is accepting of a bench role the Pacers could have beaten the Heat.

Here is essentially all of the possible ways a healthy Granger coming off the bench plays out for Indiana against the Heat.

• A career 18 point per game scorer, Granger provides a lifeless bench some punch off the pine.
• Granger takes too many shots and enables Miami to get out an run in transition; still their favorite and most efficient form of offense.
• Granger provides a mismatch on the wing that doesn't enable Miami to collapse on the paint and smother West and Hibbert
• Granger takes too many shots and takes West and Hibbert out of offensive rhythm
• The Heat bench play defensively is exposed by Granger's ability to create offense.
• Granger doesn't bring the ball up, and either George Hill or Lance Stephenson get hounded anyway making his appearance a mood point.
• Granger fully embraces his off the bench roll, scores somewhere between 16-20 points a game, and the Pacers added dimension factors into the Indiana upset. 

These hypothetical situations should keep the patrons past last call for the better part of a week.